Source: Preliminary data from the 2024 Cooperative Election Study, fielded by YouGov from Oct. 1st - Oct. 25th. State-level analysis with state-specific post-stratification weights. Weights are implemented to make each state sample representative of state adults by gender, age, region, education, race, the interaction of education and race, home ownership, and 2020 presidential vote. Adult population targets defined using the most recent 5-year American Community Survey.

Note: Demographic breakdowns are only shown for groups with 50 or more respondents.

*Follow this link for more on how likely voter weights are created

*Follow this link for more information on the CES

Special thanks to Caroline Soler for her work in producing this app.